The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADO Den Haag 49.5%
Draw 26.9%
Excelsior 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
23.9%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
22.6%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO Den Haag's form might have worsened.
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
ADO Den Haag - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lorsheyd B. (C) 2. Vonk B. 15. van den Ende J. 34. Boussatta D. 17. Koeleman S. 3. van Mierlo J. 7. Sonoda Y. 8. Dupon Q. 22. Mulder N. 35. Bol F. 20. Van Egmond A.
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. Helderman Y. 14. Verheijen J. 5. Cherif D. 11. Martina S. 3. Westerink M. 7. van Spijk V. 9. Gomez I. 18. Balkhir H. 8. Hilhorst N.
Substitutes
5. Blom R. 19. Boerboom V. 16. de Bruijn F. (G) 4. den Turk D. 10. Henry Z. 12. Nguyen E. 9. Prins F. 6. Raaijmakers P. 50. Van Schaik I. 11. Viehoff G.
19. De Jong Y. 12. de Raaff J. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 24. Haizoun D. 32. van der Eijk F. 6. van der Vlist A. 30. van de Stolpe E. 16. van Rheenen I. (G) 17. Vrij N. 15. Yamamoto M.
Coaches
van Tol S.
Kreugel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Mulder N. ↓, Van Schaik I. ↑,
21', Helderman Y. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Verheijen J. ⚽, van Spijk V. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Sonoda Y. ⚽,
38', Burgers J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomez I. ↓, van de Stolpe E. ↑,
46', Martina S. ↓, de Raaff J. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Van Schaik I. ⚽,
64', Bol F. ↓, Prins F. ↑,
64', Vonk B. ↓, Blom R. ↑,
64', Hilhorst N. ↓, Haizoun D. ↑,
64', Balkhir H. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Burgers J. ⚽,
77', Van Egmond A. 🟨,
80', van den Ende J. ↓, den Turk D. ↑,
81', Boussatta D. ↓, Boerboom V. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Prins F. ⚽, Boerboom V. (A),
82', Burgers J. ↓, De With L. ↑,
90+6', Prins F. 🟨,
90+6', Cherif D. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4.
Recent performances by Den Haag have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Den Haag is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 57:13. (average 2.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:4. (average 2.7:0.4).