The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 3.9%
Draw 7.5%
Twente 88.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
9%
12.9%
78.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior's form might have worsened.
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.
Excelsior - Twente Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 3. Westerink M. 4. Helderman Y. (C) 5. Cherif D. 7. van Spijk V. 14. Verheijen J. 12. de Raaff J. 22. Homan C. 9. Gomez I. 18. Balkhir H.
1. Lemey D. (G) 2. van der Vegt I. 5. Knol A. 4. Carleer L. (C) 18. te Brake S. 10. Roord J. 14. Elberink E. 6. Groenewegen L. 7. Hulst C. 9. Ravensbergen J. 29. Ivens R.
Substitutes
19. De Jong Y. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 24. Haizoun D. 8. Hilhorst N. 11. Martina S. 6. van der Vlist A. 16. van Rheenen I. (G) 17. Vrij N.
3. Abali I. 22. Bussman F. (G) 15. Diekman J. 30. Gelevert A. 17. Hendriks K. 37. Pennock L. 11. Tuin A. 8. van Ginkel D. 23. Verdaasdonk S.
Coaches
Kreugel M.
Dekker C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Groenewegen L. ⚽, van der Vegt I. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Homan C. ⚽,
42', Knol A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hulst C. ↓, van Ginkel D. ↑,
57', Homan C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, te Brake S. ⚽, Roord J. (A),
62', Cherif D. 🟨,
65', Balkhir H. ↓, Hilhorst N. ↑,
71', Elberink E. ↓, Pennock L. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Ivens R. ⚽, Groenewegen L. (A),
79', de Raaff J. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
79', van Spijk V. ↓, Martina S. ↑,
79', van der Vegt I. ↓, Tuin A. ↑,
84', Homan C. ↓, Haizoun D. ↑,
85', Cherif D. ↓, Vrij N. ↑,
85', Ivens R. ↓, Hendriks K. ↑,
86', Martina S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 14:101. (average 0.7:5.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:48. (average 0.6:4.8).