Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Athanassiou K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AEK Larnaca		APOEL

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.20	3.50
	2.12	3.05	3.35
	1.87	3.45	4.22
	1.87	3.52	4.09	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.7
	1.94	3.48	3.77	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)	3.75 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
47.6%

Draw
27.8%

APOEL
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

AEK Larnaca - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 6 - 60%). APOEL will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - APOEL (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - APOEL (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Paraskevas A. (G) 8. Amyn Y. 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Layouni A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 6. Pankov I. 17. Pileas K. 20. Repas J. 4. Saborit E.	27. Belec V. (G) 8. Dalcio 5. Degenek M. 31. Djuricic F. 34. Laifis K. (C) 18. Limnios D. 10. Marquinhos 15. Pedrozo F. 99. Perez F. 25. Sastre J. 3. Stafylidis K.
Substitutes
44. Adoni Z. 33. Andereggen N. 18. Chacon Y. 2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Kohler S. 25. Kyriakou C. 21. Miramon 28. Mrabti K. 1. Muftic V. (G) 19. Trica A. 3. van der Hoorn M.	4. Angelopoulos G. N. 32. Avramidis I. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 84. Filippidis M. 11. Gabriel Maioli 14. Garcia A. 70. Georgiou S. 19. Manduca G. 78. Michos S. (G) 21. Poursaitidis C. 45. Yiannacou K.
Coaches
Selles R.	Papadopoulos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Sastre J. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Repas J. ⚽,
37', Stafylidis K. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Stafylidis K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Perez F. ↓, Georgiou S. ↑,
48', Pankov I. 🟨,
50', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
60', Layouni A. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
60', Ekpolo G. ↓, Miramon ↑,
65', Amyn Y. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
70', Limnios D. ↓, Gabriel Maioli ↑,
70', Stafylidis K. ↓, Avramidis I. ↑,
72', Repas J. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
72', Pileas K. ↓, Ioannou P. ↑,
75', 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Chacon Y. ⚽,
86', Degenek M. ↓, Angelopoulos G. N. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Avramidis I. ⚽,
90+3', Dalcio 🟥,
90+4', Ivanovic D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 3.

AEK Larnaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

APOEL may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is a strong favorite.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Cabrera E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in APOEL: Christodoulou A. (Inactive) Sotiriou P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
9	APOEL	4	1	1	2	10:7	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Club Friendly
21.08.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia 29is Maiou	5:2 ✺
12.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	3:3 penalties ✺
23.07.26	AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLT
- APOEL
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - APOEL	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Anorthosis - APOEL	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Fortuna Sittard - APOEL	2:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.05.26	Paphos - APOEL	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	APOEL - Omonia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
03.05.26	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	1:0
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0
08.02.26	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	1:2
27.10.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:1
04.05.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	3:0
02.04.25	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	0:1
20.01.25	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	2:1

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