Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Israel	Sport 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	AEK Larnaca		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.40
	1.97	3.30	3.70	Watch
	2.09	3.33	3.68
	2.60	2.85	2.99	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.60
	2.08	3.20	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.55)	3.46 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
44%

Draw
29.1%

Beitar Jerusalem
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Larnaca's form might have worsened.

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	17.9%	0%

AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: AEK Larnaca will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Paraskevas A. (G) 21. Miramon 15. Milicevic H. (C) 3. van der Hoorn M. 17. Pileas K. 20. Repas J. 7. Ledes Gustavo 6. Pankov I. 14. Layouni A. 11. Bajic R. 9. Ivanovic D.	55. Miguel Silva (G) 2. Antwi N. 5. Cohen G. 4. Carabali B. 16. Cohen Y. 26. Worko D. 40. Boris Enow 15. Muche N. 77. Atzili O. 13. Ansah E. 7. Shua Y. (C)
Substitutes
44. Adoni Z. 8. Amyn Y. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 37. Gerasimou D. 13. Gurfinkel Y. 25. Kyriakou C. 1. Muftic V. (G) 29. Naoum G. 10. Rubio W.	8. Ben Shimol Z. 20. Dahan O. 25. Deri L. 14. Elimelech R. 9. Kalu J. 24. Markovitch N. 11. Muzie T. 33. Nir D. (G) 22. Ozer Y. (G) 19. Weissman S.
Coaches
Camoranesi M.	Cohen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ansah E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Atzili O. 🟨,
57', Shua Y. ↓, Muzie T. ↑,
57', Ansah E. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
57', Atzili O. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
62', Pileas K. ↓, Gurfinkel Y. ↑,
62', Miramon ↓, Ekpolo G. ↑,
63', Ivanovic D. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
65', Muche N. 🟨,
69', Pankov I. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
75', van der Hoorn M. 🟥,
76', Layouni A. ↓, Adoni Z. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Carabali B. ⚽,
83', Muche N. ↓, Ben Shimol Z. ↑,
90+4', Ben Shimol Z. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Beitar Jerusalem has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AEK Larnaca might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Ajax - AEK Larnaca	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Helmond Sport - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.05.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Toto Cup
18.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Dukagjini	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Botev Vratsa - Beitar Jerusalem	2:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.05.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.21	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	0:0

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