Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: AEL FC Arena (Larissa)

Referee: Katoikos K. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	SportPlus


	AEL Larissa		Levadiakos

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.96	Watch
	3.65	3.3	2.06
	3.09	3.06	2.30	Watch
	3.88	3.23	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.1)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
26.4%

Draw
29.3%

Levadiakos
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

AEL Larissa - Levadiakos Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Levadiakos will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadiakos: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 2 - 50%). Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Levadiakos (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 2 - 40%). Levadiakos (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (G) 22. Papageorgiou A. (C) 44. Chakla S. 5. Bagalianis P. 12. Kossonou A. 8. Perez F. 31. Atanasov J. 11. Mourgos S. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 7. Warda A. 19. Pasas G.	12. Lodygin Y. (G) 6. Tsapras T. 24. Liagas P. (C) 32. Magnusson H. 3. Vichos P. 23. Cokaj E. 18. Kosti I. 34. Palacios S. 11. Balzi G. 77. Verbic B. 15. Pedrozo F.
Substitutes
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 2. Apostolakis K. 14. Ferigra E. 23. Garate L. 77. Giousis C. 63. Kovacevic B. 6. Pantelakis E. 25. Sagal A. 90. Sourlis V. 26. Staikos P. 29. Tupta L. 55. Vignato E.	88. Anacker L. (G) 22. Filon T. 85. Goumas K. 19. Jallow L. 21. Juric S. 2. Katris G. 7. Layous H. 14. Manthatis G. 9. Ozbolt A. 31. Symelidis P. 36. Tshibola A. 37. Tsivelekidis G.
Coaches
Malezas S.	Papadopoulos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pedrozo F. ⚽,
26', Verbic B. 🟨,
37', Papageorgiou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
53', Mourgos S. ↓, Sagal A. ↑,
58', Bagalianis P. 🟨,
60', Verbic B. ↓, Symelidis P. ↑,
64', Perez F. 🟨,
66', Balzi G. 🟨,
71', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
73', Pedrozo F. ↓, Ozbolt A. ↑,
73', Balzi G. ↓, Layous H. ↑,
75', Lodygin Y. 🟨,
79', Perez F. ↓, Staikos P. ↑,
80', Warda A. ↓, Giousis C. ↑,
90+1', Palacios S. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Symelidis P. ⚽,
90+6', Symelidis P. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0.

Larissa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Levadiakos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Larissa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Levadiakos could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Larissa: Deligiannidis P. (Injury)

There will not play in Levadiakos: Abu Hanna J. (Inactive) Layous H. (Inactive) Ozbolt A. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Cup
29.10.25	PAOK - AEL Larissa	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
25.10.25	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	AEL Larissa - Volos	2:5 ✺
29.09.25	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLT
- Levadiakos FC
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Levadiakos - Aris	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Atromitos Athens - Levadiakos	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Levadiakos - Panetolikos	6:0 ✺
27.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Levadiakos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
24.09.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	1:2
Club Friendly
10.08.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	0:2
Greek Super League 2
03.04.24	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	2:2
25.02.24	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	0:0
27.11.23	Levadiakos - AEL Larissa	1:1
Greek Cup
19.10.22	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	1:2
Greek Super League
10.03.19	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	2:0

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