The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atromitos Athens 52.1%
Draw 29.6%
AEL Larissa 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
29.5%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
24.2%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atromitos Athens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Larissa (4.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 12. Mountes M. 4. Stavropoulos D. (C) 70. Mansur 21. Uronen J. 5. Tsingaras T. 92. Moutoussamy S. 11. Jubitana D. 8. Michorl P. 77. Zuber S. 32. Baku M.
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 2. Apostolakis K. 28. Batubinsika D. 33. Rosic L. 4. Iliadis T. (C) 20. Olafsson D. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 90. Sourlis V. 8. Perez F. 29. Tupta L. 23. Garate L.
Substitutes
30. Athanasiou V. (G) 1. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 6. Karamanis A. 24. Mitoglou G. 16. Papadopoulos G. 10. Pnevmonidis S. 44. Tsakmakis D. 19. Tsantilas P. 23. Tsiloulis S. 99. Tzovaras G. 7. Ukaki E. 9. van Weert T.
31. Atanasov J. 14. Ferigra E. 5. Kakuta G. 27. Macon Y. 1. Melissas N. (G) 15. Naor G. 7. Ngoy J. 6. Pantelakis E. 19. Pasas G. 77. Sisto P. 26. Staikos P. 21. Venetikidis T. (G)
Coaches
Kerkez D.
Pantelidis S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Baku M. ⚽, Jubitana D. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Mansur ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
32', Rosic L. ↓, Naor G. ↑,
33', Apostolakis K. 🟨,
38', Michorl P. 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Baku M. ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sourlis V. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
46', Mansur ↓, Mitoglou G. ↑,
47', Zuber S. 🟨,
48', Zuber S. 🟥,
51', 3 - 1, Apostolakis K. ⚽,
55', Michorl P. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
63', Batubinsika D. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
72', Jubitana D. 🟨,
72', Jubitana D. ↓, Karamanis A. ↑,
73', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
73', Perez F. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Tupta L. ⚽, Kakuta G. (A),
80', Stavropoulos D. 🟨,
80', Karamanis A. 🟨,
89', Ukaki E. ↓, Tzovaras G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 2.
Atromitos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Larissa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Atromitos is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atromitos: Mitoglou G.
(Inactive)
Quini
(Inactive)
There will not play in Larissa: Atanasov J.
(Injury)
Kossonou A.
(Injury)
Melissas N.
(Inactive)
Sagal A.
(Red Card)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.2:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).