Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: AEL FC Arena (Larissa)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	SportPlus


	AEL Larissa		Volos

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	3.3	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	2.33	3.05	3.3
	2.62	2.89	3.24
	6.47	3.59	1.57	Watch
	2.33	3.04	3.23	Watch
	2.44	2.97	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.37)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
33.3%

Draw
32.3%

Volos
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Larissa's form might have worsened.

Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	76.5%	0%

AEL Larissa - Volos Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Volos (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Volos (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (C) 64. Deligiannidis P. 6. Pantelakis E. 44. Chakla S. 63. Kovacevic B. 31. Atanasov J. 7. Warda A. 8. Perez F. 29. Tupta L. 25. Sagal A. 23. Garate L.	1. Siampanis M. (C) 2. Soria C. 30. Hermannsson H. 4. Kargas G. 25. Fortuna N. 8. Joca 16. Martinez D. 20. Comba M. 7. Lamprou L. 10. Juanpi 9. Hamulic S.
Substitutes
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 2. Apostolakis K. 5. Bagalianis P. 77. Giousis C. 4. Iliadis T. 12. Kossonou A. 11. Mourgos S. 22. Papageorgiou A. 26. Staikos P. 73. Varsamis V.	99. Adeleye A. (G) 77. Assehnoun J. 18. Bouzoukis G. 17. Grosdis V. 5. Lagonidis G. 19. Makni N. 22. Mygas G. 27. Prountzos G. 66. Sinanaj M. 72. Tasiouras E. 89. Triantafyllou A. 11. Zarzana A.
Coaches
Petrakis G.	Ferrando J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Comba M. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Atanasov J. (Pen),
25', 1 - 2, Juanpi ⚽,
45', Perez F. 🟨,
45+2', Hermannsson H. 🟨,
45+3', Garate L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Pantelakis E. ↓, Bagalianis P. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Garate L. ⚽, Warda A. (A),
56', 2 - 3, Lamprou L. ⚽, Hamulic S. (A),
63', Sagal A. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
69', Lamprou L. ↓, Mygas G. ↑,
74', Warda A. 🟨,
74', Fortuna N. 🟨,
75', 2 - 4, Juanpi ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
77', Atanasov J. 🟨,
77', Comba M. 🟨,
80', Kovacevic B. ↓, Kossonou A. ↑,
82', Martinez D. ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
83', Soria C. ↓, Assehnoun J. ↑,
86', Tupta L. ↓, Giousis C. ↑,
86', Deligiannidis P. ↓, Staikos P. ↑,
87', 2 - 5, Joca ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
88', Joca ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
88', Hamulic S. ↓, Makni N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2.

In recent matches, Larissa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Larissa: Ferigra E. (Inactive) Pasas G. (Red Card) Sourlis V. (Inactive) Venetikidis T. (Inactive) Vignato E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Volos: Comba M. (Yellow Cards) Kargas G. (Yellow Cards) Oscar Pinchi (Inactive) Tsokanis A. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
29.09.25	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
24.09.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
21.09.25	AEL Larissa - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Marko - AEL Larissa	2:2 ✺
Greek Super League
14.09.25	Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLTTT
- Volos FC
Greek Super League
28.09.25	AEK Athens - Volos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
24.09.25	Volos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
20.09.25	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
16.09.25	Ilioupolis - Volos	1:3 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Panetolikos - Volos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.09.22	AEL Larissa - Volos	1:0
Greek Super League
08.05.21	Volos - AEL Larissa	3:1
30.01.21	AEL Larissa - Volos	0:0
31.10.20	Volos - AEL Larissa	1:1
22.06.20	AEL Larissa - Volos	3:1
23.02.20	Volos - AEL Larissa	0:0
30.11.19	AEL Larissa - Volos	2:1

Upcoming Matches