Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEL Limassol		APOEL

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.08
	3.44	3.37	2.16
	3.72	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.38	3.38	2.09	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (4.41)	3.31 ↓ (3.66)	2.04 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
26.6%

Draw
28%

APOEL
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

26.8%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEL Limassol's performance.

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and APOEL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEL Limassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APOEL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

AEL Limassol - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 20%). APOEL will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 21. Bogdan L. 26. Glavcic N. 24. Imanishimwe E. 23. Leo Natel 40. Maseko T. 19. Milosavljevic I. 27. Sawo Z. 35. Sergio Conceicao 15. Stevanovic D. 6. Zdravkovski D.	27. Belec V. (G) 31. Brorsson F. 20. Dalcio 29. Diego Rosa 9. Drazic S. 89. Koutsakos N. 34. Laifis K. 77. Mancini D. 14. Nanu 15. Tomas M. 6. Vitor Meer
Substitutes
45. Forestieri F. 2. Frantzis C. 10. Jradi B. Z. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 33. Makris A. 63. Mughe F. R. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 8. Papafotis V. 29. Paroutis D. 11. Singh L. 37. Szoke J.	17. Abagna D. 2. Antoniou E. 36. Appiah C. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 5. Degenek M. 1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 38. Geovane Meurer 10. Marquinhos 7. Meyer M. 99. Olayinka P. 21. Poursaitidis C. 45. Yiannacou K.
Coaches
Martins H.	Garcia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Mancini D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', Koutsakos N. ↓, Abagna D. ↑,
58', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Singh L. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Leo Natel ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Abagna D. ⚽,
67', Mancini D. 🟨,
68', Glavcic N. 🟨,
74', Maseko T. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
77', Tomas M. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Drazic S. ⚽,
84', Leo Natel ↓, Makris A. ↑,
84', Imanishimwe E. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
84', Glavcic N. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
85', Mancini D. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
85', Dalcio ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
86', Laifis K. ↓, Degenek M. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Sergio Conceicao (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

APOEL could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in AEL: Frantzis C. (Inactive)

There will not play in APOEL: Sotiriou P. (Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: Gabriel Maioli (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEL Limassol	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
9	APOEL	4	1	1	2	10:7	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
20.02.26	Enosis Neon Paralimni - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Krasava Ypsonas - AEL Limassol	3:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
04.02.26	Omonia - AEL Limassol	1:2 ET ✺
Cypriot First Division
01.02.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLLWW
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
22.02.26	APOEL - Omonia	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ethnikos Achna - APOEL	3:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
11.02.26	APOEL - Enosis Neon Paralimni	3:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.02.26	APOEL - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Paphos - APOEL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
23.11.25	APOEL - AEL Limassol	1:2
16.02.25	AEL Limassol - APOEL	1:2
10.11.24	APOEL - AEL Limassol	4:0
11.02.24	AEL Limassol - APOEL	1:1
11.11.23	APOEL - AEL Limassol	1:0
08.01.23	AEL Limassol - APOEL	1:0
02.10.22	APOEL - AEL Limassol	0:0

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