Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Fotiou K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	AEL Limassol		Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.2
	4.1	3.2	1.89
	3.65	3.3	1.84
	4.45	3.11	1.93	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.4
	4.97	3.08	1.84
	4.1	3.2	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.87)	3.06 ↑ (2.38)	2 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
23.5%

Draw
30.3%

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

39.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

39.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	91.3%	0%

AEL Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 79.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 12 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Karmiotissa (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.25) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - AEL (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. AEL (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Karmiotissa (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 12 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kyriakou P. (G) 4. Costantini F. 26. Glavcic N. 76. Kyriakou K. 22. Lesovoy D. 33. Makris A. (C) 66. Mamas R. 5. Ouedraogo D. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 17. Singh L. 7. Thomalla D.	93. Epassy D. (G) 2. Antoniou M. 13. Delmiro 80. Giousis C. 6. Hocko D. 90. Kampetsis A. 11. Kovacevic B. 9. Kvirkvia M. 4. Malone D. (C) 8. Neofytou A. 16. Tsoukalas S.
Substitutes
99. Becker Y. (G) 14. Christofi S. 92. Efstathiou A. 2. Frantzis C. 71. Gerolemou G. 34. Kecskes A. 16. Panagiotou S. 90. Panagi P. 6. Stolnik M. 20. Strumia L. 77. Themistokleous T. 80. Ze Turbo	29. Andreou P. 20. Artymatas P. 99. Bamba I. D. 26. Christoforou K. 17. Cmiljanic B. 24. Gradinaru R. 75. Mattheou N. 1. Spoljaric A. (G) 10. Stojanovic L. 77. Vrikkis A. 22. Yeddes S. (G)
Coaches
Nikolaou M.	Jandric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Delmiro 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Kyriakou K. ⚽,
13', Mamas R. 🟨,
32', Hocko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsoukalas S. ↓, Andreou P. ↑,
46', Lesovoy D. ↓, Panagiotou S. ↑,
57', Antoniou M. ↓, Gradinaru R. ↑,
57', Kvirkvia M. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,
64', Kyriakou K. ↓, Frantzis C. ↑,
64', Makris A. ↓, Christofi S. ↑,
64', Delmiro ↓, Cmiljanic B. ↑,
76', Hocko D. ↓, Stojanovic L. ↑,
79', Thomalla D. ↓, Gerolemou G. ↑,
84', Kyriakou P. 🟨,
87', Costantini F. 🟨,
87', Gradinaru R. 🟨,
88', Stojanovic L. (Pen),
90+4', Mamas R. ↓, Panagi P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karmiotissa could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in AEL: Zachariou P. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, AEL won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:15. (average 2.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 3.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
03.05.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - AEL Limassol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot First Division
05.05.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia 29is Maiou	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Ethnikos Achna - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Anorthosis	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
07.03.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	2:1
08.12.24	AEL Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	4:0
10.05.24	AEL Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	4:3
03.04.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	0:0
06.02.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	1:3
05.11.23	AEL Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1
17.05.23	AEL Limassol - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0

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