Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Nea Salamis		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.65
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.35	3.42	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.5	3.38	2.71
	2.45	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
38.8%

Draw
27.3%

AEL Limassol
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - AEL (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AEL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 16. Bejarano Da. 3. de Lucas L. 22. Durmisi R. 12. Gbelle G. 20. Papageorgiou G. 11. Tabekou S. 4. Tomovic N. 14. Vellios A. 44. Viktoros G.	1. Braga V. (G) 4. Costantini F. 26. Glavcic N. 66. Mamas R. 42. Neofytou K. 5. Ouedraogo D. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 17. Singh L. 10. Trickovski I. 11. Zachariou P. 80. Ze Turbo
Substitutes
31. Antosch D. (G) 18. Carlitos 9. Durmishaj F. 10. Fernandez V. 98. Kalanides G. (G) 26. Lecjaks J. 24. Leuko S. 30. Mavroudis A. 45. Plumain A. 25. Prokopiou T. 2. Sergiou K. 21. Spyridakis D.	99. Becker Y. (G) 74. Christodoulou S. 2. Frantzis C. 71. Gerolemou G. 34. Kecskes A. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 33. Makris A. 16. Panagiotou S. 6. Stolnik M. 20. Strumia L. 7. Thomalla D. 21. Toku E.
Coaches
Gonzalez H.	Nikolaou M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Neofytou K. ↓, Frantzis C. ↑,
29', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bejarano Da. ↓, Carlitos ↑,
46', Ze Turbo ↓, Strumia L. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Trickovski I. ⚽,
54', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Plumain A. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Panagiotou Filiotis A. ⚽,
65', Gbelle G. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
65', Vellios A. ↓, Durmishaj F. ↑,
66', Carlitos 🟨,
74', Bahassa Y. ↓, Spyridakis D. ↑,
80', Singh L. ↓, Toku E. ↑,
80', Zachariou P. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Plumain A. ⚽,
89', Trickovski I. ↓, Thomalla D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Toku E. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 0.

Recent matches Nea Salamis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AEL is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Nea Salamis: Durmishaj F. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Nea Salamis: Koumpari K. (Knee Injury) Narsingh L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
07.04.25	Omonia Aradippou - Nea Salamis	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTL
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
05.04.25	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - AEL Limassol	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Omonia Aradippou - AEL Limassol	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
24.01.25	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	0:0
21.10.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	0:2
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1
Cypriot First Division
24.04.24	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	5:4
11.03.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1
01.02.24	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	3:1
28.10.23	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	2:1

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