Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyta Championship - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)


	AEL Limassol		Othellos Athienou

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.68	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.67	3.95	5
	1.68	3.87	5
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.65	3.9	4.62	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	3.84 ↓ (3.96)	4.59 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
55.8%

Draw
24.1%

Othellos Athienou
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Othellos Athienou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Othellos Athienou than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Othellos Athienou will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Anestis G. (G) 7. Andreou E. 66. Djalma Silva 2. Frantzis C. 77. Kah Fabrice 6. Medojevic S. 29. Minchev G. 8. Papafotis V. 22. Silvestros E. 14. Srnic S. 73. Themistokleous T.	17. Panagiotou P. (G) 28. Anang B. 10. Brambilla L. 8. Christodoulou G. 91. Corinus J. 3. Jansen Q. 14. Katsiati G. 4. Nardini E. 29. Pich R. 12. Sangare I. 2. Stamoulis K.
Substitutes
70. Cano L. 74. Christodoulou S. 89. Genethliou L. 34. Kolias M. 33. Makris A. 21. Marsh G. 17. Mendes Moreira A. 25. Morsay J. 49. Neofytou K. 16. Oliveira Miguel (G) 90. Panagi P. 46. Zacharia L.	18. Hadjipaschalis C. 90. Ioannou L. 15. Kastanas K. 5. Kyriakou K. 39. Maisuradze N. 69. Mallouri A. (G) 44. Mitsis A. 24. Pavli C. 27. Slavik A. 9. Suto M. 1. Tziakouris D. (G)
Coaches
Garpozis A.	Sakkas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Papafotis V. ⚽,
30', Themistokleous T. ↓, Mendes Moreira A. ↑,
30', 2 - 0, Mendes Moreira A. ⚽,
33', Anang B. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Andreou E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sangare I. ↓, Suto M. ↑,
46', Pich R. ↓, Hadjipaschalis C. ↑,
46', Corinus J. ↓, Kastanas K. ↑,
49', Kastanas K. 🟨,
69', Papafotis V. ↓, Panagi P. ↑,
69', Kah Fabrice ↓, Christodoulou S. ↑,
69', Silvestros E. ↓, Neofytou K. ↑,
73', Brambilla L. ↓, Ioannou L. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Christodoulou G. ⚽,
81', Minchev G. ↓, Morsay J. ↑,
83', Medojevic S. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Katsiati G. ⚽,
85', Christodoulou G. 🟨,
88', Christodoulou G. ↓, Kyriakou K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AEL won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match AEL is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches AEL won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams AEL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
08.04.24	Zakakiou - AEL Limassol	1:5 ✺
03.04.24	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - AEL Limassol	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	AEL Limassol - Doxa Katokopias	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTT
- Othellos Athienou
Cypriot First Division
07.04.24	Othellos Athienou - Nea Salamis	2:3 ✺
03.04.24	Othellos Athienou - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Doxa Katokopias - Othellos Athienou	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Zakakiou - Othellos Athienou	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Othellos Athienou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
02.03.24	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	1:1
28.01.24	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	AEL Limassol awarded
22.10.23	AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou	2:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	1:1
Cypriot First Division
15.05.15	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	3:0
05.04.15	AEL Limassol - Othellos Athienou	0:1
28.02.15	Othellos Athienou - AEL Limassol	0:0

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