The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Eskilstuna 53.9%
Draw 24%
Gefle 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
25.7%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
25%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Eskilstuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Eskilstuna's performance.
Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gefle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Eskilstuna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gefle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dyplin K. (C) 99. Azizovic A. 6. Blomdahl O. 30. Cherif Fofana I. 9. Flodkvist A. 17. Mahari E. 2. Mahmoud L. 19. Mazalovic A. 36. Onnebro A. 55. Rydh M. 16. Skoldqvist S.
1. Croon M. (G) 5. Ismail D. (C) 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 24. Persson K. 19. Sipic A. 18. Spangberg M. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A. 77. Zulum S.
Substitutes
8. Ahmed I. 13. Bouvin D. (G) 10. Chabo E. 7. Hanson L. 5. Parallangaj T. 20. Youla M. 24. Zhuravlev D.
13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 3. Myrttinen K. 15. Nezirevic A. 20. Sugita Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Cherif Fofana I. 🟨,
37', Zulum S. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Ismail D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Persson K. ↓, Nezirevic A. ↑,
66', Blomdahl O. ↓, Hanson L. ↑,
66', Mazalovic A. ↓, Chabo E. ↑,
66', Azizovic A. ↓, Youla M. ↑,
67', Mahari E. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
73', Youla M. 🟨,
77', Sipic A. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
82', Skoldqvist S. ↓, Zhuravlev D. ↑,
90', Zahirovic A. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
90+1', Chabo E. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC Eskilstuna won 2.
AFC Eskilstuna has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Gefle has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AFC Eskilstuna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to AFC Eskilstuna for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for AFC Eskilstuna in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, AFC Eskilstuna has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:15 (averaging 1.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AFC Eskilstuna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
AFC Eskilstuna
25
14
5
6
47:34
13
47
11
Gefle
25
9
3
13
29:43
-14
30
Last Results with these Odds
Gefle - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Dyplin K. (C) 
Cherif Fofana I. 
Mazalovic A. 
Sipic A. 
Zulum S. 
Zhuravlev D. 
Lundstrom N. 
Sugita Y. 
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