Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 22

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Arlanda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.45	3.3	2.55
	2.46	3.4	2.59
	2.49	3.54	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.4	3.32	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.36)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
37.2%

Draw
27.1%

Arlanda
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gefle - Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 8. Kouyate M. 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 24. Persson K. 19. Sipic A. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 5. Bergstedt O. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 19. Rydz S. 24. Saeed A.
Substitutes
13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 18. Spangberg M. 20. Sugita Y. 77. Zulum S.	11. Ahmed M. 18. Carlsson J. 16. Drugge J. 30. Karo A. (G) 25. Koroma R. 12. Nyman L. 7. Rehman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Zahirovic A. 🟨,
40', Saeed A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Saeed A. ↓, Rehman S. ↑,
59', Giordano Eriksson I. 🟨,
64', Charbachi A. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Fredricson H. ⚽,
68', Nehrman R. ↓, Spangberg M. ↑,
69', Zahirovic A. ↓, Sugita Y. ↑,
70', Ismail D. 🟨,
75', Hansemon T. 🟨,
77', Antholm I. ↓, Drugge J. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Charbachi A. ⚽, Drugge J. (A),
80', Sipic A. ↓, Zulum S. ↑,
80', Hansemon T. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
84', Rydz S. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
84', Giordano Eriksson I. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
84', Charbachi A. ↓, Carlsson J. ↑,
90+3', Spangberg M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Gefle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arlanda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gefle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30

Last Results with these Odds

Gefle - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sollentuna - Gefle	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Gefle	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gefle - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTWW
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.09.26	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Arlanda - Östersund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.06.26	Arlanda - Gefle	2:3
24.08.25	Arlanda - Gefle	2:0
02.06.25	Gefle - Arlanda	1:1

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