Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)


	AFC Malmö		Astrio

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.75
	1.32	5.05	7.93
	1.32	4.95	7.92	Watch
	1.36	5	5.5
	1.31	5.2	7.85
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	4.62 ↑ (4)	6.12 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
64%

Draw
20.5%

Astrio
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

22.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Malmö's performance.

Astrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astrio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrio than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astrio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Malmö - Astrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Egly V. (G) 2. Arnshed S. 30. Awad A. 3. Bjurnemark A. 4. Blomqvist A. 7. Khalid O. 22. Lindkvist R. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 11. Sabriye A. 14. Wettergren L.	1. Nilsson Z. (G) 5. Borgstrand J. 9. Gulda P. 19. Hakansson V. 8. Johansson H. 7. Lindau L. 2. Olsson J. 11. Petersson I. 10. Preuss S. 17. Svensson S. 23. Wrele A.
Substitutes
9. Amiri N. 8. Azizi S. 23. Dahlberg F. 20. Habibi A. 16. Ingemarson A. 33. Nilsson W. (G)	29. Bottomley M. 22. Haveneth N. 20. Hintsa E. 18. Jyrkin D. 3. Larsson E. 4. Rashkaj V. 21. Takenaka T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Wettergren L. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Ariana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Astrio is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ariana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.11.24	Astrio - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.11.24	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	0:3 ✺
03.11.24	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	3:2 ✺
25.10.24	AFC Malmö - Torn	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Falkenberg - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- BK Astrio
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.11.24	Astrio - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.11.24	Kongahälla - Astrio	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Astrio - Kristianstad	3:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
19.10.24	Astrio - Hittarp	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Öckerö - Astrio	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.11.24	Astrio - AFC Malmö	2:1

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