Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 27

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Falkenberg		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.68	3.75	4.33
	1.74	3.88	4.27
	1.74	3.86	4.34	Watch
	1.69	3.78	4.46	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.77 ↓ (3.95)	4.32 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
54.3%

Draw
24.4%

AFC Malmö
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falkenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Falkenberg - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 30. Aguda G. 23. Andersson R. 8. Bertilsson N. 18. Borgstrom L. 5. Hansson N. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Shahin L. 17. Sibelius L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 22. Tilly H.	1. Azizi O. (G) 2. Arnshed S. 3. Bjurnemark A. 4. Blomqvist A. 20. Habibi A. (C) 7. Khalid O. 22. Lindkvist R. 6. Nouri B. 10. Reuterskiold A. 11. Sabriye A. 9. Sharza J.
Substitutes
24. Bodiroza V. 12. Carlsson C. 6. Christiansson E. 11. Kocanovic M. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 19. Lindberg O. 15. Silverholt O.	17. Amadi U. 30. Awad A. 13. Azizi S. 5. Bunjaku G. 23. Dahlberg F. 16. Ingemarson A. 33. Nilsson W. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Reuterskiold A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Sharza J. ↓, Amadi U. ↑,
62', Tilly H. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Aguda G. ⚽,
76', Arnshed S. ↓, Azizi S. ↑,
77', Khalid O. ↓, Awad A. ↑,
80', Sibelius L. ↓, Carlsson C. ↑,
81', Andersson R. ↓, Silverholt O. ↑,
84', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Ingemarson A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ariana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Falkenberg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Falkenberg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.10.24	Oskarshamn - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Falkenberg - Ängelholm	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Trollhättan - Falkenberg	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Falkenberg - Ljungskile	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Falkenberg - Jönköpings Södra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.10.24	Olympic - AFC Malmö	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	AFC Malmö - Norrby	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ljungskile - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	AFC Malmö - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Rosengård 1917 - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.04.24	AFC Malmö - Falkenberg	0:2
23.09.23	AFC Malmö - Falkenberg	1:1
30.07.23	Falkenberg - AFC Malmö	2:1

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