The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Malmö 40.8%
Draw 26.1%
Jönköpings Södra 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
27.4%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
28%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Malmö's performance.
Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jönköpings Södra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Malmö that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jönköpings Södra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Martensson P. (G) 30. Awad A. 19. Fatahi M. 5. Larsen L. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. (C) 37. Petrovic P. 17. Podrimcaku A. 11. Reinholdsson A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.
1. Eriksson A. (G) 17. Almstrom O. 6. Crona S. (C) 2. Eek L. 12. Galabri K. 14. Hellstrom C. 11. Kiwarkis A. 10. Kozica D. 13. Lyck H. 9. Lyck L. 28. Shamoun J.
Substitutes
22. Alievski E. 1. Brandin O. (G) 7. Eliassi E. 8. Harletun K. 2. Karim S. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 10. Reuterskiold A.
26. Bark A. 7. Benatallah F. 25. Boulos E. 21. Farnerud C. 22. Grauberg K. 4. Karlsson A. 30. Svensson S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Awad A. ↓, Reuterskiold A. ↑,
18', 🟨,
27', Eek L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Reuterskiold A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galabri K. ↓, Farnerud C. ↑,
59', Reinholdsson A. ↓, Harletun K. ↑,
84', Kiwarkis A. ↓, Boulos E. ↑,
84', Lyck L. ↓, Bark A. ↑,
89', Petrovic P. ↓, Alievski E. ↑,
89', Sener C. ↓, Minter Wettergren L. ↑,
90+7', Harletun K. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
AFC Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmö won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC Malmö won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
AFC Malmo
25
11
8
6
45:35
10
41
8
Jonkoping
26
9
6
11
29:27
2
33
Last Results with these Odds
Jönköpings Södra - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Sweden
Watch
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Martensson P. (G) 
Awad A. 
Nouri B. (C) 
Alievski E. 
Grauberg K. 
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