Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 18

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	AFC Malmö		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.30	2.87
	1.95	3.45	3.35
	2.05	3.56	3.1
	2.04	3.71	3.23	Watch
	1.93	3.3	3.1
	1.96	3.54	3.26	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
45.5%

Draw
26%

Lunds
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

24.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

AFC Malmö - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 30. Awad A. 77. Castro V. 19. Fatahi M. 2. Karim S. 7. Kohler N. 5. Larsen L. 6. Nouri B. (C) 17. Podrimcaku A. 99. Sener C.	1. Alexandersson A. (C) 99. Bojang M. 4. Elwan H. 14. Jacobsson J. 17. Lindfors S. 10. Lindman E. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 26. Orajarvi I. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.
Substitutes
23. Dickson K. 8. Harletun K. 18. Larsen L. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 11. Reinholdsson A. 25. Sjoberg J. (G) 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.	18. Akdemir F. 15. Bath Saganger G. 32. Fordham T. (G) 8. Getachew J. 11. Mehmedagic A. 12. Strid J. 19. Tork-Jokar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Karim S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
46', Orajarvi I. ↓, Getachew J. ↑,
46', Elwan H. ↓, Bath Saganger G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Bojang M. ⚽,
53', Podrimcaku A. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Bojang M. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Nouri B. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Bojang M. ⚽,
74', 2 - 4, Lindman E. ⚽,
74', Castro V. ↓, Dickson K. ↑,
80', Bojang M. ↓, Mehmedagic A. ↑,
82', Jacobsson J. 🟨,
83', Fatahi M. ↓, Reinholdsson A. ↑,
83', Awad A. ↓, Minter Wettergren L. ↑,
87', 2 - 5, Nilsson A. ⚽,
88', Nilsson A. ↓, Tork-Jokar G. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmö won 2.

AFC Malmö has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lunds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AFC Malmö could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmö won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, AFC Malmö won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lunds	25	11	8	6	46:29	17	41
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Malmö - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.87%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.08.26	Olympic - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	AFC Malmö - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	AFC Malmö - Olympic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTWL
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.08.26	Lunds - Hässleholm	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Skövde AIK - Lunds	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Trelleborg - Lunds	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Lunds - Skövde AIK	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Jönköpings Södra - Lunds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.06.26	Lunds - AFC Malmö	1:4
03.10.25	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:1
28.04.25	Lunds - AFC Malmö	0:0
10.08.24	Lunds - AFC Malmö	1:1
05.05.24	AFC Malmö - Lunds	3:1
01.09.23	Lunds - AFC Malmö	3:0
08.04.23	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:0

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