The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Malmö 54.8%
Draw 22.5%
Torslanda 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.8%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
20.3%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Torslanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Malmö that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torslanda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
AFC Malmö - Torslanda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Nilsson W. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 8. Brannefalk J. 77. Castro V. 36. Kristiansson V. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. 16. Sverrisson O. 14. Wettergren L.
31. Noller J. (G) 5. Andersson A. 14. Axede C. 16. Bright S. 18. Davidsson H. 25. Davidsson K. 4. Edge H. 8. Eknander L. (C) 13. Wennergrund F. 6. Wooldridge D. 7. Yosef Y.
Substitutes
23. Arnshed S. 19. Awad A. 7. Mohamud M. 15. Prica L. 18. Sjoberg B. 1. Sjoberg J. (G) 9. Zadran R.
11. Backlund E. 17. Bergstrom A. 12. Jahn E. 21. Johansson O. 22. Landegren F. 32. Lehto L. (G) 2. Pahlman F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', Noller J. ↓, Lehto L. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Andersson V. ⚽,
45', Yosef Y. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Andersson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
64', 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Yosef Y. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 4, Axede C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
Ariana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Torslanda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Ariana is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.