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Current Win Probability
AFC Malmö 58%
Draw 21.6%
Ängelholm 20.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56%
23.1%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
22.1%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Ängelholm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ängelholm than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
AFC Malmö - Ängelholm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 36. Bjorkqvist M. 9. Bohman F. 19. Fatahi M. 2. Karim S. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. 10. Reuterskiold A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. (C)
1. Streifert R. (G) 16. Ahlqvist M. 2. Ahmadi M. 14. Carlsson V. 9. Nilsson A. 4. Sonntag W. 23. Stojanovic Fredin O. 8. Tannus B. (C) 10. Tshikupe M. 3. Vedholm E. 15. Wiklund A.
Substitutes
30. Awad A. 25. Eminovic E. (G) 8. Harletun K. 7. Kohler N. 5. Larsen L. 37. Petrovic P. 17. Podrimcaku A.
17. Boakye T. 20. Lipovica E. 30. Nilsson Z. (G) 21. Orrling E. 25. Svensson J. 18. Tagsjo M. 7. Touray A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Nilsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
18', 0 - 2, Carlsson V. ⚽,
33', Sonntag W. ↓, Svensson J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Martinsson F. ↓, Awad A. ↑,
46', Alievski E. ↓, Petrovic P. ↑,
46', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Podrimcaku A. ↑,
58', Fatahi M. ↓, Kohler N. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Bohman F. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
65', Tshikupe M. ↓, Touray A. ↑,
65', Ahlqvist M. ↓, Lipovica E. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Carlsson V. ⚽,
75', Nouri B. ↓, Harletun K. ↑,
90+1', Nilsson A. ↓, Orrling E. ↑,
90+1', Carlsson V. ↓, Boakye T. ↑,
90+2', Orrling E. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Harletun K. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmö won 1.
AFC Malmö has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ängelholm has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AFC Malmö carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for AFC Malmö in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, AFC Malmö has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 1.4:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AFC Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Sweden
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Brandin O. (G) 
Alievski E. 
Fatahi M. 
Nouri B. 
Eminovic E. (G) 
Kohler N. 
Boakye T. 
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