Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 26

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	AFC Malmö		Ängelholm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.15
	2.11	3.42	3.36
	2.11	3.34	3.33	Watch
	2.09	3.42	3.23	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.95)	3.41 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
46.1%

Draw
26.8%

Ängelholm
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Malmö's form might have worsened.

Ängelholm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ängelholm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ängelholm than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ängelholm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Malmö - Ängelholm Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ängelholm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ängelholm (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ängelholm (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ängelholm (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubwama R. (G) 2. Andersson P. 19. Awad A. 8. Brannefalk J. 77. Castro V. 12. Mehmed E. 45. Neziri A. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 16. Sverrisson O. 14. Wettergren L.	30. Fagerberg H. (G) 6. Bergman D. 20. Bladh Pijaca H. 7. Gudmundsson J. 8. Hedenberg L. (C) 5. Lindberg W. 16. Lubishtani D. 15. Nilsson A. 4. Persson L. 25. Svensson J. 27. Touray A.
Substitutes
99. Andersson V. 5. Bunjaku G. 22. Karaman E. 36. Kristiansson V. 33. Nilsson W. (G) 23. Sjoberg B. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.	17. Ahlstrand A. 2. Ahmadi M. 3. Ahmed I. 21. Amilon Persson T. 9. Gustafson A. 26. Hall A. 19. Svensson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Nilsson A. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Gudmundsson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Awad A. ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, Nilsson A. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Ariana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ängelholm's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ariana might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ariana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.10.25	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Norrby - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	AFC Malmö - IFK Skövde	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	AFC Malmö - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT
- Ängelholms FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.10.25	Ängelholm - Trollhättan	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Skövde AIK - Ängelholm	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ängelholm - Ljungskile	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Husqvarna - Ängelholm	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ängelholm - Rosengård 1917	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
18.04.25	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	2:1
03.11.24	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	3:2
19.04.24	AFC Malmö - Ängelholm	3:1
15.10.23	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	4:0
14.06.23	AFC Malmö - Ängelholm	1:0

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