Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.75
	1.55	3.95	5
	1.59	4.26	4.95
	1.59	4.11	5.14	Watch
	1.55	3.88	5.06
	1.55	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	4.98 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
58.7%

Draw
22.9%

Alvechurch
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

AFC Telford United - Alvechurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Telford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alvechurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Dyer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, Whittall S. (Pen),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 10).

Telford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	AFC Telford United - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.24	Barwell - AFC Telford United	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Sudbury Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
10.09.24	AFC Telford United - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Lowestoft Town - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW
- Alvechurch FC
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Spalding United - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
28.09.24	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Alvechurch - Stamford	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Alvechurch - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Redditch United - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
19.03.24	Alvechurch - AFC Telford United	0:2
24.10.23	AFC Telford United - Alvechurch	1:0

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