Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	2.02	3.78	3.16
	2.02	3.38	3.22
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	3.25 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
46%

Draw
25.8%

Needham Market
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Needham Market's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Telford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Needham Market, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Telford United - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Telford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Needham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Needham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.23	AFC Telford United - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	St Ives Town - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
28.08.23	AFC Telford United - Halesowen Town	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Barwell - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- Needham Market
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Hashtag United - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.23	Kettering Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Needham Market - Stourbridge	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Leiston - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Needham Market - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWTW

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