Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.3	2.4
	2.62	3.53	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.4
	2.57	3.34	2.36
	2.54	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.33)	3.35 ↓ (3.51)	2.41 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
35.2%

Draw
27.1%

Needham Market
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Leiston - Needham Market Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Chambers S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leiston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leiston has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Needham Market - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Leiston - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Stratford Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWL
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Needham Market - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Needham Market - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Bishops Stortford - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Needham Market - Leiston	1:2
13.02.24	Needham Market - Leiston	5:0
28.08.23	Leiston - Needham Market	0:0
10.04.23	Needham Market - Leiston	0:1
26.12.22	Leiston - Needham Market	2:1
01.02.22	Needham Market - Leiston	3:0
02.11.21	Leiston - Needham Market	1:0

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