Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	AJEL de Rufisque		Linguère

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.68	4.05
	2.07	2.6	3.87
	2.15	2.61	4.17	Watch
	2.1	2.5	3.8
	2.1	2.62	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	2.6 ↓ (2.67)	4 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
43%

Draw
34.6%

Linguère
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

33.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

33.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Linguère has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linguère than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Linguère Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 14).

AJEL has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Linguère's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

AJEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AJEL is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
14	Linguere	30	3	16	11	22:36	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
17.05.26	Gorée - AJEL de Rufisque	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Guédiawaye	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Wally Daan - AJEL de Rufisque	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- ASC Linguère
Senegal Ligue 1
17.05.26	Linguère - Ouakam	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	HLM - Linguère	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Camberene - Linguère	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Linguère - Casa Sport	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Jaraaf - Linguère	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
08.02.26	Linguère - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0

AJEL de Rufisque - Linguère: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide