Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Gorée		AJEL de Rufisque

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.45	3.35
	2.44	2.44	3.28
	2.62	2.42	3.42	Watch
	2.33	2.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.33)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorée
36.5%

Draw
36.8%

AJEL de Rufisque
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

36.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

35.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

AJEL de Rufisque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Gorée - AJEL de Rufisque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gorée is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
10.05.26	Gorée - HLM	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Camberene - Gorée	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Casa Sport - Gorée	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gorée - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pikine - Gorée	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTTW
- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
13.05.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Guédiawaye	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Wally Daan - AJEL de Rufisque	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Ouakam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
31.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0
09.02.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0

Gorée - AJEL de Rufisque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide