Match Info

1. MFL - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Shkendija Tetovo		Vardar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	2.08	2.95	3.30
	2.08	3.09	3.24
	2.16	2.98	3.48	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.20
	2.09	3.13	3.23
	1.87	3.25	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.33 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
43.7%

Draw
29.3%

Vardar
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gaye B. (G) 23. Dimoski B. 10. Krasniqi E. 19. Krstevski V. 11. Kryeziu A. 55. Manev J. 26. Meljichi A. 9. Ndzengue F. 8. Rafa 2. Trumci A. 17. Zejnullai A. (C)	95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 49. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 71. Miguel Pires 5. Najdovski F. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
25. Amzai A. (G) 18. Ceka N. 20. Djeladini L. 99. Gjorgjievski M. 7. Ibraimi B. 21. Isa A. 16. Murati M. 77. Ramadani F. 30. Ramani F. (G) 29. Tamba F.	88. Bosancic N. 32. Castaneda D. 27. Cvetkovski F. 14. Diabate S. 1. Dikovski D. (G) 23. Duranski F. 31. Markovski I. 18. Mishkovski N. 34. Puleio I. 17. Spahiu E. 22. Todorovski D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Babunski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndzengue F. ↓, Ibraimi B. ↑,
46', Krstevski V. ↓, Tamba F. ↑,
53', Dimoski B. 🟨,
59', Tamba F. 🟨,
76', Zakaric G. ↓, Spahiu E. ↑,
81', Trumci A. 🟨,
86', Dimoski B. ↓, Gjorgjievski M. ↑,
90+1', Danev D. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shkendija won 2.

In recent outings, Shkendija has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vardar is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shkendija holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shkendija has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:16 (averaging 1.9:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shkendija against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	11	7	3	1	24:10	14	24
3	Vardar	11	6	3	2	17:9	8	21

Last Results with these Odds

Shkendija Tetovo - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.10.26	Skopje - Shkendija Tetovo	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Shkëndija Haraçinë - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Bashkimi Kumanovo	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Arsimi - Shkendija Tetovo	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTWTL
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
17.10.26	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Skopje - Vardar	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Vardar - Shkëndija Haraçinë	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar	3:3 ✺
07.09.26	Vardar - Arsimi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.05.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	3:0
05.03.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1
27.10.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar	0:1
14.03.25	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1
16.02.25	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	1:2
29.09.24	Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar	4:0
16.03.24	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1

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