Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 20

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Landen Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Blacktown City		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	3.70	1.73
	4.25	3.45	1.67
	3.90	3.87	1.92
	6.1	3.62	1.57
	3.60	3.40	1.83
	3.77	3.66	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (5.05)	3.62 ↓ (4)	1.77 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown City
21.8%

Draw
25.7%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.2%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APIA Leichhardt Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 2.

Blacktown City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blacktown City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blacktown City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
13.06.26	Sutherland Sharks - Blacktown City	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Blacktown City - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Manly United - Blacktown City	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Blacktown City - Sydney Olympic	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Blacktown City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLT
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
13.06.26	Wollongong Wolves - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Manly United	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	North West Sydney Spirit - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Marconi Stallions	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2
15.06.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	1:0
01.03.25	Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	4:3
25.05.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:1
17.02.24	Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	6:3
29.07.23	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	1:2
16.04.23	Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	4:2

Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide