Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 17

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Marconi Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Marconi Stallions		Rockdale Ilinden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.85	3.8	Watch
	1.7	4.35	4.4
	1.68	3.24	5.83	Watch
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	1.66	4	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	3.87 ↓ (4.05)	4.35 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marconi Stallions
54.8%

Draw
23.9%

Rockdale Ilinden
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marconi Stallions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marconi Stallions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Marconi Stallions - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions

Users Predictions: Marconi Stallions will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marconi Stallions won 4.

Marconi Stallions has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rockdale Ilinden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Marconi Stallions is the team to beat.

We predict that Marconi Stallions will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Marconi Stallions won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marconi Stallions won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marconi Stallions
Australian NPL NSW
24.05.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Marconi Stallions	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Marconi Stallions	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Marconi Stallions - Sydney Olympic	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Marconi Stallions - Manly United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWW
- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
24.05.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	0:5 ✺
16.05.26	University of New South Wales - Rockdale Ilinden	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Wollongong Wolves - Rockdale Ilinden	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
15.02.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	1:4
08.06.25	Marconi Stallions - Rockdale Ilinden	0:1
22.02.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	1:2
07.09.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	0:3
19.06.24	Marconi Stallions - Rockdale Ilinden	9:0
24.02.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	2:2
30.07.23	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	1:0

Marconi Stallions - Rockdale Ilinden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide