Match Info

Cyprus Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1


	APOEL		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.7
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.08	3.25	3.05
	2.14	3.29	3.28
	2.34	3.48	2.78	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.15	3.32	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.88)	3.36 ↑ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
41.6%

Draw
27.2%

Apollon Limassol
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in APOEL's performance.

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apollon Limassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with APOEL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

APOEL - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - APOEL (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 2. Antoniou E. 20. Dalcio 29. Diego Rosa 9. Drazic S. 34. Laifis K. (C) 77. Mancini D. 14. Nanu 99. Olayinka P. 3. Stafylidis K. 15. Tomas M.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 4. Adoni Z. 12. Assuncao G. 5. Brown M. 30. Escriche D. 76. Gaspar B. 44. Kvida J. 14. Malekkidis G. (C) 43. Marques P. 10. Rodrigues G. 23. Thomas B.
Substitutes
36. Appiah C. 31. Brorsson F. 11. Gabriel Maioli 38. Geovane Meurer 23. Kattirtzis P. 89. Koutsakos N. 78. Michos S. (G) 21. Poursaitidis C. 79. Sotiriou P. 6. Vitor Meer 91. Voniatis S. 45. Yiannacou K.	86. Charalambous P. 17. Duodu C. 41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 77. Ljubic I. 50. Markovic L. 91. Polyviou I. 89. Rotis R. 26. Shikkis A. 31. Stylianou K. (G) 45. Vrikkis A. 80. Youssef A. 8. Zmrhal J.
Coaches
Garcia P.	Losada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Olayinka P. 🟨,
64', Assuncao G. 🟨,
80', Marques P. 🟨,
86', Kattirtzis P. 🟨,
87', Adoni Z. 🟨,
90+1', Laifis K. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-4. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 2.

APOEL has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Apollon Limassol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

APOEL will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

APOEL - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
26.04.26	APOEL - Paphos	3:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	4:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Omonia - APOEL	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	APOEL - Aris Limassol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
26.04.26	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	4:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	4:2
Cypriot First Division
14.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:2
18.01.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	2:1
28.09.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	2:0
Club Friendly
09.08.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	1:2
Cypriot First Division
26.04.25	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	0:0
29.03.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	1:1

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