Match Info

Date: 20 February 2020, Thursday


	APOEL		Basel

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.87
	2.65	3.1	2.85
	2.65	3.2	2.85
	2.57	3.03	2.77
	2.66	3.1	2.88
	2.7	3.2	2.9
	2.72	3.2	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)	3.13 ↓ (3.23)	2.86 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APOEL
36.1%

Draw
30.5%

Basel
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

21.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APOEL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.2%	36.5%	19.2%

APOEL - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 23 - 44.2%). Basel will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 36.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 30.7% – 57.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
15.02.20	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:1 ✺
08.02.20	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
05.02.20	APOEL - Anorthosis	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	APOEL - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
29.01.20	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWL
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
15.02.20	Basel - Thun	0:1 ✺
08.02.20	Zürich - Basel	0:4 ✺
02.02.20	Basel - St. Gallen	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Young Boys - Basel	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.20	Basel - Grasshoppers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

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