Match Info

Premier League

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Merreikh Stadium (Omdurman) 🌤️ ...


	Al-Merreikh		Etincelles

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.55	6.7
	1.47	3.53	6.24
	1.61	3.42	5.93	Watch
	1.44	3.4	6.5
	1.45	3.58	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	6.58 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
60.5%

Draw
25.8%

Etincelles
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

25.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

24.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Al Merreikh - Etincelles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 16).

Al-Merreikh is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Etincelles's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Merreikh is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Merreikh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2:6	-4	7
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
02.05.26	Gicumbi - Al-Merreikh	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Bugesera	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Al-Merreikh	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Rutsiro	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Al-Merreikh - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTW
- Etincelles FC
Rwanda Premier League
02.05.26	Etincelles - Amagaju	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Etincelles - APR	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bugesera - Etincelles	2:0 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Police - Etincelles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
17.12.25	Etincelles - Al-Merreikh	1:2

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