Match Info

Premier League

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)


	APR		Gasogi United

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.35	6.5
	1.61	3.19	5.36
	1.51	3.52	7.18	Watch
	1.5	3.25	7
	1.48	3.38	7.65
	1.47	3.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	6.78 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APR
59.8%

Draw
26.9%

Gasogi United
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

25.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

24.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APR than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APR, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

APR - Gasogi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APR won 2.

APR is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Gasogi United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gasogi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, APR is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, APR won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 0.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, APR won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APR FC
Rwanda Premier League
13.12.25	Gorilla - APR	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	APR - Police	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	APR - Etincelles	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kigali - APR	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	APR - Marines	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTWTW
- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
12.12.25	Police - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gasogi United - Marines	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Gasogi United - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Amagaju - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Gasogi United - Kiyovu Sports	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
14.03.25	Gasogi United - APR	0:0
Rwanda Peace Cup
05.03.25	APR - Gasogi United	0:0
27.02.25	Gasogi United - APR	0:1
Rwanda Premier League
20.10.24	APR - Gasogi United	1:0
05.12.23	APR - Gasogi United	0:0
15.04.23	APR - Gasogi United	0:0
02.12.22	Gasogi United - APR	0:0

APR - Gasogi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide