Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Rorizao (Samambaia)


	ARUC		Samambaia

	1	X	2
	17.5	5.15	1.16
	16.47	5.58	1.15
	19.85	5.03	1.19	Watch
	23	5	1.18
	19.5	5.25	1.15
	19	5	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.22 ↑ (9)	5.17 ↑ (4.5)	1.17 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ARUC
4.7%

Draw
17.5%

Samambaia
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

19.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ARUC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ARUC's form might have worsened.

Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samambaia's recent form is better than expected.

ARUC - Samambaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

ARUC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Samambaia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Samambaia is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ARUC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
08.02.26	Brasiliense - ARUC	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	ARUC - Brasília	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sobradinho - ARUC	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ceilândia - ARUC	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	ARUC - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Samambaia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
07.02.26	Samambaia - Brasília	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Samambaia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Gama - Samambaia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Samambaia - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTW

ARUC - Samambaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide