Match Info

3rd Division - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	ASA Aarhus		Hørsholm-Usserød

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.60	2.65
	2.23	3.50	2.63
	2.29	3.70	2.67
	2.25	3.78	2.64	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.55
	2.19	3.76	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	2.67 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASA Aarhus
41%

Draw
24.9%

Hørsholm-Usserød
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASA Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hørsholm-Usserød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASA Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ASA Aarhus - Hørsholm Usserød Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8th in the 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, ASA has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hørsholm-Usserød is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

ASA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Hørsholm-Usserød has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	ASA Aarhus	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASA Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
19.09.26	Brønshøj BK - ASA Aarhus	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	ASA Aarhus - Næsby	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sundby - ASA Aarhus	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	ASA Aarhus - Holstebro	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	BK Frem - ASA Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
19.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Vanløse	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 3 Division
13.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWLL

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