Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny (Abidjan)

Referee: Nguiene J. P. (Con)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Laos	beIN Connect
South-africa	SABC Plus
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	ASEC Mimosas		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.25
	3.4	2.8	2.35	Watch
				Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.3
	3.24	2.93	2.31	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.8)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)	2.3 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 8

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Current Win Probability

ASEC Mimosas
28%

Draw
32.4%

USM Alger
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASEC Mimosas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASEC Mimosas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASEC Mimosas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Folly C. (G) 25. Youssifou A. 35. Diakite I. 28. Doumbia I. 26. ZouZou F. C. 10. Diarrassouba S. 12. Sacko S. 15. Dakoi K. 22. Amoussou R. 8. Sanogo H. 7. Dagrou A.	25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. 4. Mondeko Zatu K. 5. Azzi I. 23. Chetti I. 11. Likonza G. 18. Boukhenchouche S. 14. Benzaza B. 12. Bousseliou K. 17. Gassama S. 22. Alli W. M.
Substitutes
19. Coulibaly S. 17. Dago N. 33. Fofana S. 3. Gbakre B. 14. Issouf K. 30. Tshisungu K. 2. Yabre M. A. 16. Yelo R. (G)	24. Ait El Hadj M. 31. Benmazouz M. 13. Embarek O. 27. Ghacha H. 2. Mahrouz R. 8. Merili I. 26. Namani A. 16. Soufi K. (G) 9. Terrazas A.
Coaches
Chevalier J.	Maaloul N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Diarrassouba S. ⚽, Youssifou A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bousseliou K. ↓, Ghacha H. ↑,
46', Chetti I. ↓, Mahrouz R. ↑,
46', Gassama S. ↓, Benmazouz M. ↑,
56', Azzi I. 🟨,
61', Radouani S. 🟨,
65', Sanogo H. ↓, Ecua C. ↑,
69', Benzaza B. ↓, Merili I. ↑,
70', Boukhenchouche S. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Benmazouz M. ⚽,
77', Boukhenchouche S. ↓, Embarek O. ↑,
89', Sacko S. ↓, Issouf K. ↑,
89', Amoussou R. ↓, Dago N. ↑,
90', Dagrou A. ↓, Tshisungu K. ↑,
90+2', Benbout O. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

ASEC Mimosas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

USM Alger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ASEC Mimosas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams ASEC Mimosas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASEC Mimosas
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
31.12.24	ASEC Mimosas - SO de l`Armée	3:1 ✺
24.12.24	ASEC Mimosas - AS Denguélé	2:0 ✺
19.12.24	ASEC Mimosas - LYS Sassandra	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Orapa United - ASEC Mimosas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLT
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
26.12.24	USM Alger - Oran	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Jaraaf - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	USM Alger - Orapa United	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	3:0
17.05.23	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	2:0
10.05.23	ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger	0:0

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