Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	ASWH		Katwijk

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.37
	6.1	4.7	1.35
	6	4.7	1.37
	6.37	4.93	1.39
	4	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.09)	4.82 ↑ (3.93)	1.36 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASWH
15.8%

Draw
18.5%

Katwijk
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.3%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ASWH's form might have worsened.

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katwijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASWH, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ASWH - Katwijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie and 1).

ASWH has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Katwijk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Katwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Katwijk is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Katwijk to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ASWH won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASWH
Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.04.22	Excelsior Maassluis - ASWH	3:0 ✺
26.04.22	Spakenburg - ASWH	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	ASWH - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:4 ✺
18.04.22	ASWH - IJsselmeervogels	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	TEC - ASWH	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.04.22	Katwijk - Quick Boys	4:1 ✺
23.04.22	Noordwijk - Katwijk	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	GVVV - Katwijk	1:3 ✺
09.04.22	Katwijk - Kozakken Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.11.21	Katwijk - ASWH	3:2
31.08.19	Katwijk - ASWH	3:0

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