The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 47.4%
Draw 23.9%
ASWH 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
22.5%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
21.2%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Maassluis's form might have worsened.
ASWH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ASWH's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Maassluis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ASWH, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Excelsior Maassluis - ASWH Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie).
Recent matches Excelsior Maassluis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
ASWH has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Excelsior Maassluis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Excelsior Maassluis is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Excelsior Maassluis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.