Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Spakenburg		ASWH

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	4.2
	1.61	4.15	4.05
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.56	4.45	4.71
	1.53	4.33	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)	4.27 ↑ (3.93)	4.47 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spakenburg
58.4%

Draw
21.3%

ASWH
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

23.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

22.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spakenburg's performance.

ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASWH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spakenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASWH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Spakenburg - ASWH Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Spakenburg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). ASWH will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spakenburg: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).

Spakenburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ASWH has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spakenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently ASWH have a series of home games.

In this match Spakenburg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spakenburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Spakenburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Spakenburg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
23.04.22	TEC - Spakenburg	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Spakenburg - Kozakken Boys	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Quick Boys - Spakenburg	1:0 ✺
12.04.22	Spakenburg - Amsterdamsche FC	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Spakenburg - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- ASWH
Dutch Tweede Divisie
23.04.22	ASWH - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:4 ✺
18.04.22	ASWH - IJsselmeervogels	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	TEC - ASWH	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	ASWH - De Treffers	0:5 ✺
05.04.22	ASWH - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
02.10.21	ASWH - Spakenburg	3:1
18.01.20	Spakenburg - ASWH	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.19	Spakenburg - ASWH	2:0
Dutch Tweede Divisie
24.08.19	ASWH - Spakenburg	1:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
25.10.16	Spakenburg - ASWH	2:3 ET

Spakenburg - ASWH