Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 20

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Woudestein (Rotterdam)


	Excelsior		Ajax

	1	X	2
	16.5	9.25	1.09
	19.5	9.2	1.05	Watch
	20.07	12.4	1.05
	16.96	11.9	1.06	Watch
	29	10	1.06
	25	12	1.01	Watch
	14	7	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.15 ↑ (14)	10.25 ↑ (7)	1.06 ↓ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
4.6%

Draw
9%

Ajax
86.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.4%

12.8%

80.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.

Excelsior - Ajax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. Helderman Y. 14. Verheijen J. 5. Cherif D. 15. Yamamoto M. 3. Westerink M. 7. van Spijk V. 11. Martina S. 9. Gomez I. 18. Balkhir H.	1. van Eijk R. (G) 24. De Klonia D. 6. van de Velde J. 5. van Asten R. 2. Visscher A. 16. Noordman D. 8. Spitse S. 28. Van Dijk E. 3. Noordermeer D. 26. Kip X. 7. Derks R.
Substitutes
19. De Jong Y. 12. de Raaff J. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 24. Haizoun D. 8. Hilhorst N. 6. van der Vlist A. 30. van de Stolpe E. 16. van Rheenen I. (G)	21. Buikema N. 17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 10. Smits J. 25. Touzani L. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J. 27. van Schoonhoven N.
Coaches
Kreugel M.	Bruil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Balkhir H. 🟥,
37', De Klonia D. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
41', Gomez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yamamoto M. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
46', Gomez I. ↓, De Jong Y. ↑,
60', Derks R. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Kip X. ⚽, van de Velde J. (A),
69', Visscher A. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
71', Martina S. ↓, van de Stolpe E. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Spitse S. (Penalty Awarded),
83', van Spijk V. ↓, De With L. ↑,
83', Helderman Y. ↓, de Raaff J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.

Excelsior is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ajax is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 9:64. (average 0.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:38. (average 0.7:4.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax W	8	6	0	2	21:10	11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.04.26	Zwolle - Excelsior	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Excelsior - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	ADO Den Haag - Excelsior	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.04.26	Ajax - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ajax - Zwolle	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	NAC Breda - Ajax	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Utrecht - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
12.10.25	Ajax - Excelsior	3:0
17.05.25	Excelsior - Ajax	1:3
22.12.24	Ajax - Excelsior	3:1
20.01.24	Ajax - Excelsior	6:1
15.09.23	Excelsior - Ajax	1:3
10.03.23	Excelsior - Ajax	0:3
21.10.22	Ajax - Excelsior	3:1

Excelsior - Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide