Match Info

DENMARK: Superliga - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Maae J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	Onefootball app


	Aalborg BK		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.83	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.85
	3.9	3.9	1.84
	4.13	3.84	1.88
	3.87	3.83	1.88	Watch
	4.4	4	1.6
	3.93	3.82	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.56)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
23.7%

Draw
24.5%

AGF Aarhus
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.5%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 2. Diakhite O. 4. Kramer L. 3. Otoa S. 16. Davidsen K. 6. Jimenez M. 11. Jorgensen M. (C) 17. Jasson A. 8. Widell M. 19. Iredale J.	1. Hansen J. (G) 3. Dalsgaard H. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 2. Beijmo F. 8. Anderson M. 6. Poulsen N. 7. Madsen M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. (C)
Substitutes
7. Adedeji J. 24. Arnorsson N. 21. Bomholt M. 22. De Boer R. (G) 37. Diagne A. 9. Helenius N. 27. John K. 5. Nielsen M. 10. Ross O.	26. Andersen J. 23. Bach T. 29. Brandhof F. 33. Callo L. 18. Gyamfi R. 24. Halsgaard A. 10. Haugen S. 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 22. Wahlstedt L. (G)
Coaches
van Dam M.	Rosler U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Madsen M. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Links G. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Mortensen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kramer L. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
46', Davidsen K. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
46', Jimenez M. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
46', Iredale J. ↓, John K. ↑,
72', Links G. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
78', Diakhite O. 🟨,
79', Poulsen N. 🟨,
82', Bech T. ↓, Bach T. ↑,
82', Madsen M. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
84', Jasson A. 🟨,
84', Jasson A. ↓, Bomholt M. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Mortensen P. (Pen),
89', Poulsen N. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
89', Mortensen P. ↓, Gyamfi R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 1.

Recent matches Aalborg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aarhus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aarhus is a favorite.

There will not play in Aarhus: Akoto M. (Injury) Anker T. (Injury) Molgaard T. (Injury) Yakob K. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish Superliga
18.08.24	Aalborg BK - Brøndby	0:4 ✺
12.08.24	Viborg - Aalborg BK	2:3 ✺
03.08.24	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Aalborg BK - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	Nordsjælland - Aalborg BK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
19.08.24	AGF Aarhus - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	5:1 ✺
11.08.24	Brøndby - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	4:0 ✺
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2 ✺
19.07.24	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
17.02.23	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	0:1
17.09.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	3:1
Club Friendly
25.06.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	2:2
Danish Superliga
18.10.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	1:0
08.08.21	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	2:0
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	1:0
Danish Superliga
28.05.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	3:2 penalties

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