Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	Onefootball


	Aalborg BK		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.4	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.44	3.28	3.17
	2.48	3.28	2.92	Watch
	2.35	3.4	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.89)	3.29 ↓ (3.86)	3.04 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
40%

Draw
28.8%

SønderjyskE
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aalborg BK's form might have worsened.

SønderjyskE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SønderjyskE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aalborg BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SønderjyskE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). SønderjyskE will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 4. Kramer L. 13. Pudel B. 14. Bruus A. 21. Bomholt M. 26. Hernes T. 8. Widell M. 17. Jasson A. 10. Ross O. 11. Jorgensen M.	16. Bundgaard M. (G) 26. Sommer T. 12. Soulas M. 4. Gretarsson D. L. 5. Dal Hende M. 22. Oggesen A. 8. Bjorklund L. 15. Qamili L. 7. Emini S. 24. Hyseni O. 11. Lyng A.
Substitutes
24. Arnorsson N. 16. Davidsen K. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 23. Hansen-Aaroen I. 9. Helenius N. 6. Jimenez M. 27. John K. 33. Makolli E. 5. Nielsen M.	31. Cherif M. 9. Djantou I. 23. Duru G. 1. Flo N. (G) 17. Gallegos J. 10. Ingason K. M. 20. Klysner T. 2. Olsen M. 28. Pedersen A.
Coaches
van Dam M.	Norgaard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Qamili L. (Pen),
20', 0 - 1, Qamili L. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Qamili L. ⚽, Hyseni O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bjorklund L. ↓, Klysner T. ↑,
55', Hernes T. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
55', Bruus A. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
60', Sommer T. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Helenius N. ⚽, Arnorsson N. (A),
67', Qamili L. ↓, Ingason K. M. ↑,
67', Hyseni O. ↓, Duru G. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Gretarsson D. L. ⚽, Sommer T. (A),
73', Jasson A. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ⚽, Helenius N. (A),
81', Emini S. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
81', Lyng A. ↓, Cherif M. ↑,
84', Kramer L. 🟨,
85', Ross O. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
90+7', Djantou I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 3.

Aalborg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SønderjyskE is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aalborg will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in SønderjyskE: Hoppe M. (Injury) Waever S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in SønderjyskE: Vinderslev R. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:18 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish Superliga
16.04.25	Silkeborg IF - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Aalborg BK - Viborg	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLT
- SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga
17.04.25	Lyngby BK - SønderjyskE	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	SønderjyskE - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Viborg - SønderjyskE	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	SønderjyskE - Silkeborg IF	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	OB Odense - SønderjyskE	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
16.03.25	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	0:3
29.09.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	3:0
Danish 1 Division
11.05.24	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	1:0
30.03.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	1:0
24.02.24	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:2
15.09.23	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	1:1
Club Friendly
11.02.22	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	0:0

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