Match Info

1st Division - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.75	Watch
	2.36	3.65	2.92
	2.31	3.44	2.78	Watch
	2.16	3.51	3.11	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.36)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2.86 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
40.8%

Draw
26.5%

Lyngby BK
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 5. Nielsen M. 18. Maarup A. 4. Tiedemann B. (C) 24. Arnorsson N. 21. Bomholt M. 17. Jasson A. 9. Helenius N. 27. John K. 10. Ross O. 11. Hansen K.	1. Aegidius J. (G) 2. Buur O. 5. Ivancevic M. (C) 24. Storm T. 3. Warmerdam D. 13. Dani 22. Langhoff P. 14. Sandgrav L. 6. Blume B. 10. Thorvaldsson I. 18. Cornelius J.
Substitutes
26. Bonde M. 37. Diagne A. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 8. Hapnes A. 23. Kaasa M. 28. Moller V. 15. Olsson C. 39. Skovgaard B. 32. Tcacenco C.	35. Bodker O. 7. Colyn S. 19. Fraulo G. 26. Gytkjaer F. 20. Kaarsbo M. 16. Meyer J. 21. Snorre O. (G) 17. Steindorsson W. 11. Warming M.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Brimsvik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hansen K. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Helenius N. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
24', Ivancevic M. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Warmerdam D. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
46', Blume B. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
46', Cornelius J. ↓, Fraulo G. ↑,
49', Helenius N. 🟨,
55', Ross O. ↓, Hapnes A. ↑,
58', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Thorvaldsson I. ⚽, Fraulo G. (A),
67', 3 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽, John K. (A),
69', Bomholt M. 🟨,
74', Helenius N. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
77', Langhoff P. ↓, Warming M. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Thorvaldsson I. (A),
85', Nielsen M. ↓, Olsson C. ↑,
85', Hansen K. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyngby has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
17.10.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
02.10.25	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Aalborg BK - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
17.09.25	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL
- Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division
19.10.25	Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad	3:3 ✺
06.10.25	Hvidovre - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
21.09.25	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
27.09.25	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:1
Danish Superliga
24.05.25	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	3:1
11.04.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:2
10.11.24	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:2
13.09.24	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:1
29.05.23	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:1
30.04.23	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	1:0

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