Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	AGF Aarhus		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.66	4.61	Watch
	1.57	4.8	4.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	4.73 ↑ (4.2)	4.72 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
60.4%

Draw
19.7%

Aalborg BK
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 4.

Recent matches Aarhus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalborg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aarhus is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 35:24 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
16.03.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - AGF Aarhus	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Randers FC - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWW
- Aalborg BK
Danish Superliga
16.03.25	SønderjyskE - Aalborg BK	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
02.03.25	Aalborg BK - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Aalborg BK - Nordsjælland	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
23.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	4:0
23.08.24	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	0:4
17.02.23	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	0:1
17.09.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	3:1
Club Friendly
25.06.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	2:2
Danish Superliga
18.10.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	1:0
08.08.21	Aalborg BK - AGF Aarhus	2:0

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