Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	Onefootball


	Aalborg BK		Vejle Boldklub Kolding

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.85
	2.37	3.45	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.51	3.06
	2.44	3.43	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.33	3.58	2.91	Watch
	2.37	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
40.1%

Draw
27.4%

Vejle Boldklub Kolding
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Vejle Boldklub Kolding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vejle Boldklub Kolding than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vejle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalborg: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 50%). Vejle (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 14. Bruus A. 13. Pudel B. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 6. Jimenez M. 8. Widell M. 26. Hernes T. 21. Bomholt M. 10. Ross O. 24. Arnorsson N. 11. Jorgensen M.	1. Vekic I. (G) 17. Emmanouilidis D. 13. Velkov S. 14. van Bruggen D. 38. Colina D. 2. Gundelund T. 34. Hetemi L. 5. Barry H. 37. Gammelgaard C. 45. Onugkha G. 10. Kirkegaard K.
Substitutes
16. Davidsen K. 2. Diakhite O. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 23. Hansen-Aaroen I. 9. Helenius N. 17. Jasson A. 27. John K. 33. Makolli E. 5. Nielsen M.	59. Elvius M. 23. Flo L. 25. Hujber L. 18. Jacobsen A. 24. Jakobsen T. H. (G) 29. Jensen R. 11. Juwara M. 7. N'Gbakoto Y. A. 26. Ravn S.
Coaches
Wichmann K.	Molby J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Widell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ross O. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
50', Barry H. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Velkov S. ⚽, Barry H. (A),
68', Gammelgaard C. ↓, Jacobsen A. ↑,
68', Barry H. ↓, Flo L. ↑,
72', Jimenez M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
72', Hernes T. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
78', Widell M. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
84', Emmanouilidis D. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
87', Bomholt M. ↓, Jasson A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 1.

Aalborg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vejle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vejle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Aalborg: Kramer L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vejle: Duin J. (Inactive)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish Superliga
20.04.25	Aalborg BK - SønderjyskE	2:3 ✺
16.04.25	Silkeborg IF - Aalborg BK	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Aalborg BK - Viborg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Vejle Boldklub Kolding
Danish Superliga
21.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Silkeborg IF	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Viborg	3:3 ✺
14.04.25	SønderjyskE - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lyngby BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
06.04.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	1:1
03.11.24	Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	3:3
04.10.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	2:2
06.03.22	Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:0
16.08.21	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Aalborg BK	0:1
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:1
Danish Superliga
19.05.21	Aalborg BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:1

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