Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Esbjerg		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.15
	2.80	3.65	2.28
	2.89	3.66	2.26
	2.89	3.63	2.23	Watch
	2.80	3.55	2.20
	2.84	3.58	2.23	Watch
	2.80	3.50	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.76)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	2.22 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
32.4%

Draw
25.9%

Aalborg BK
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Esbjerg - Aalborg BK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 2.

Esbjerg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Aalborg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Esbjerg has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:28 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Esbjerg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:17 goals (averaging 1.6:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87% Esbjerg: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10:19	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg BK - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
19.09.26	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	3:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
15.09.26	Hellerup - Esbjerg	0:5 ✺
Danish 1 Division
12.09.26	Esbjerg - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fredericia - Esbjerg	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTLL
- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
20.09.26	Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Hvidovre - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	AB Copenhagen - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
21.03.26	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	1:1
19.08.25	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
30.10.24	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	0:2
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	0:0
19.08.20	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	2:1
Danish Superliga
31.05.20	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:1
11.08.19	Aalborg BK - Esbjerg	4:0

Esbjerg - Aalborg BK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide