Match Info

1st Division - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Vendsyssel

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.60	3.40
	1.95	3.30	3.50
	1.85	3.55	4.00
	2.04	3.55	3.79
	1.89	3.72	3.78	Watch
	2.01	3.40	3.75
	2.01	3.61	3.41	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
47.7%

Draw
26.6%

Vendsyssel
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vendsyssel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aalborg BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 16. Persyn T. 33. Makolli E. 21. Sondergaard P. 24. Arnorsson N. A. 17. Jasson A. (C) 23. Kaasa M. 7. Adedeji J. 28. Moller V. 11. Normann K. 14. Kubel M.	1. Schulz L. (G) 21. Clemmensen B. 4. Konteh B. 73. Lauritsen M. 23. Olsen A. 6. Schuller R. 8. Michael S. 11. Hannesbo M. 15. Tangen H. 9. Steffensen L. (C) 12. Vendelbo A. C.
Substitutes
25. Borsting F. 22. De Boer R. (G) 8. Hapnes A. 27. John K. 5. Nielsen M. 19. Nwadik B. 15. Olsson C. 30. Thomsen W. 18. Tielemans M.	30. Atlason A. N. 18. Holt M. 17. Lodberg S. 14. Mortensen F. 16. Nielsen M. (G) 19. Pedersen E. 10. Simpson S. 27. Sommer J. 22. Williams P.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Engstrom K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Adedeji J. ⚽,
18', Kubel M. ↓, Nwadik B. ↑,
21', Arnorsson N. A. 🟨,
30', Kaasa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Vendelbo A. C. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Steffensen L. ⚽, Olsen A. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Nwadik B. ⚽,
67', Persyn T. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
70', Tangen H. ↓, Pedersen E. ↑,
76', Schuller R. 🟨,
78', Michael S. ↓, Lodberg S. ↑,
78', Olsen A. ↓, Atlason A. N. ↑,
82', Kaasa M. ↓, Hapnes A. ↑,
84', Hannesbo M. ↓, Sommer J. ↑,
84', Schuller R. ↓, Holt M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Clemmensen B. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Aalborg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Aalborg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:17 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aalborg against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 20:9 goals (averaging 2.5:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
7	Vendsyssel	9	2	4	3	10:14	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg BK - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
12.09.26	Hvidovre - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	AB Copenhagen - Aalborg BK	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLL
- Vendsyssel FF
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Vendsyssel - Randers FC	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
11.09.26	Vendsyssel - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Vendsyssel	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Esbjerg - Vendsyssel	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Fuglebakken KFUM Århus - Vendsyssel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.25	Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK	1:2 ET
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel	5:0
Danish 1 Division
02.06.24	Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel	4:1
07.04.24	Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK	2:2
10.03.24	Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel	4:3
29.09.23	Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK	1:3
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Aalborg BK - Vendsyssel	2:1

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