Match Info

1st Division - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hobro		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.80
	2.34	3.4	2.85
	2.51	3.76	2.75
	2.32	3.54	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.65
	2.42	3.22	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.73)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)	2.77 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
39.2%

Draw
27.1%

Aalborg BK
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hobro's performance.

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalborg BK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hobro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalborg BK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Hobro - Aalborg BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hobro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aalborg will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hobro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sondergaard A. (G) 18. Sogaard E. (C) 4. Dorph O. 13. Dietz F. 20. Noshe A. 26. Hansen T. 3. Enemark C. 8. Pedersen M. 27. Klitten L. 9. Andreasen S. 22. Huldahl M.	1. Muller V. (G) 25. Borsting F. (C) 33. Makolli E. 24. Arnorsson N. A. 5. Nielsen M. 17. Jasson A. 23. Kaasa M. 14. Kubel M. 8. Hapnes A. 11. Normann K. 19. Nwadik B.
Substitutes
50. Andersen J. (G) 43. Breum A. 78. Dahl H. 11. Hauge R. 12. Jacobsen M. 5. Kannegaard M. 2. Londal M. 16. Meedom O. 29. Obasi O.	7. Adedeji J. 26. Bonde M. 22. De Boer R. (G) 27. John K. 28. Moller V. 15. Olsson C. 16. Persyn T. 30. Thomsen W. 4. Tiedemann B.
Coaches
Gjesing J.	Hojer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Andreasen S. ⚽, Huldahl M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nwadik B. ↓, John K. ↑,
58', Kaasa M. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
65', Andreasen S. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
65', Kubel M. ↓, Adedeji J. ↑,
66', Klitten L. 🟨,
71', Hansen T. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
72', Dietz F. 🟨,
83', Borsting F. ↓, Tiedemann B. ↑,
84', Tiedemann B. 🟨,
85', 2 - 0, Dietz F. ⚽, Hauge R. (A),
86', Nielsen M. ↓, Persyn T. ↑,
86', Pedersen M. ↓, Kannegaard M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Makolli E. ⚽, Persyn T. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 1.

Hobro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aalborg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aalborg	10	3	5	2	14:14	0	14
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg BK - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
15.08.26	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Hobro - AB Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.26	Hobro - Vendsyssel	0:4 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.08.26	Vendsyssel - Hobro	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL
- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
14.08.26	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Aalborg BK - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Holstebro - Aalborg BK	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
01.05.26	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:1
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0
01.08.25	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:1
Danish 1 Division
05.05.24	Aalborg BK - Hobro	2:3
12.04.24	Hobro - Aalborg BK	2:1

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