Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Aalesunds 2		Arendal

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.66
	3.75	4.2	1.7
	3.64	4.27	1.78
	3.9	3.6	1.67
	3.78	4.1	1.69
	3.8	3.95	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.51)	4 ↓ (4.33)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
24%

Draw
22.7%

Arendal
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21.1%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

20.6%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arendal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arendal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aalesunds 2 - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lansing M. (G) 29. Atanga I. 21. Breivik C. 32. Ebiye M. 3. Hagen I. 4. Haram S. 33. Holte S. (C) 25. Kilen S. 8. Melland H. 17. Norvik J. 30. Solnordal O.	37. Brauti J. (G) 4. Bergan V. 10. Berge S. 17. Cheng C. 2. Fredriksen J. 19. Habestad O. 20. Johansen M. 15. Lereng E. 14. Makiadi A. 16. Marthinussen S. 6. Salte T. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bjornevik E. 2. Giskegjerde O. 18. Gulbrandsen M. 24. Gulbrandsen T. 16. Roth S. 27. Senior-Harvik S. 31. Wdowiak H. 22. Ytterland T.	5. Andersen S. 8. Christensen R. L. 3. Egell-Johnsen K. 9. Frederiksen J. 13. Kiilerich S. 18. Koko J. 29. Lille-Lovo S. 7. Skeie P. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Aalesunds 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arendal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalesunds 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arendal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aalesunds 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.09.23	Brattvåg - Aalesunds 2	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Aalesunds 2 - Vard Haugesund	1:0 ✺
07.09.23	Aalesunds 2 - Brattvåg	3:3 ✺
04.09.23	Egersund - Aalesunds 2	5:1 ✺
28.08.23	Aalesunds 2 - Kjelsås	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLL
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.09.23	Arendal - Fram Larvik	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:3 ✺
04.09.23	Lyn - Arendal	4:3 ✺
26.08.23	Arendal - Egersund	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Flekkerøy - Arendal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.06.23	Arendal - Aalesunds 2	3:1

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