Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Aarau		Young Boys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.00	5.00	1.34
	5.20	6.25	1.30
	6.00	6.22	1.38
	5.1	5.9	1.38
	4.30	6.15	1.36
	7.08	5.90	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↓ (6.46)	5.9 ↑ (5.28)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
16.3%

Draw
15.5%

Young Boys
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

17.6%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

17%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Aarau - Young Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Velickovic L. (G) 18. Afriyie D. 6. Aliu I. 80. Beka Beka A. 29. Dickenmann M. 4. Hasani B. 15. Muller S. 20. Ndau K. 27. Obexer L. 2. Thaler M. (C) 10. Vladi S.	40. Marzino D. (G) 27. Blum L. 16. Fassnacht C. 6. Fernandes E. 12. Guirassy H. 17. Janko S. 4. Jenz M. 30. Lauper S. 9. Sene M. K. 7. Virginius A. 15. Zesiger C. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Virginius A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Lauper S. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 1.

Aarau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Young Boys shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Young Boys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Young Boys holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Aarau has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:23 (averaging 1.3:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aarau against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Club Friendly
24.09.26	Grasshoppers - Aarau	4:1
Swiss Challenge League
18.09.26	Winterthur - Aarau	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Aarau - Kriens	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Wil 1900 - Aarau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTWT
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
19.09.26	Young Boys - Servette	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lugano - Young Boys	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Young Boys - Luzern	3:3 ✺
01.09.26	Zürich - Young Boys	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Young Boys - Basel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.24	Young Boys - Aarau	1:0
24.03.16	Young Boys - Aarau	5:1
Swiss Super League
29.04.15	Young Boys - Aarau	2:2
15.03.15	Aarau - Young Boys	1:1
05.10.14	Aarau - Young Boys	3:2
27.07.14	Young Boys - Aarau	1:1
07.05.14	Young Boys - Aarau	2:2

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