The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Winterthur 47%
Draw 24.3%
Aarau 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
24.8%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
23.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.
Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aarau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Winterthur - Aarau Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aarau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kuster M. (G) 27. Rohner F. 33. Citherlet T. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 44. Cueni S. 45. Jankewitz A. 8. Golliard T. 20. Marchesano A. 37. Maluvunu E. 68. Beyer B.
30. Hirzel A. (G) 29. Dickenmann M. 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. (C) 27. Obexer L. 44. Tairi Z. 6. Aliu I. 20. Ndau K. 7. Guindo M. 18. Afriyie D.
Substitutes
9. Buess R. 18. Diaby S. 11. Kehrer E. 19. Odin Y. 21. Ottiger S. 26. Sahitaj L. 75. Spagnoli A. (G) 22. Turkes A. 7. Zuffi L.
24. Arkovic T. 80. Beka Beka A. 28. Coric D. 38. Frei M. (G) 4. Hasani B. 23. Jordan E. 31. Petit-Viretti V. 42. Senyurt B. 10. Vladi S.
Coaches
Rahmen P.
Iacopetta B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Tairi Z. ↓, Petit-Viretti V. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Marchesano A. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Acquah D. 🟨,
33', Camara S. 🟨,
38', Citherlet T. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Muller S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Acquah D. 🟨,
64', Jankewitz A. ↓, Odin Y. ↑,
64', Rohner F. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
65', Ottiger S. 🟨,
68', Guindo M. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
73', Beyer B. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
73', Arnold R. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Golliard T. ⚽,
84', Petit-Viretti V. ↓, Beka Beka A. ↑,
84', Ndau K. ↓, Coric D. ↑,
84', Obexer L. ↓, Senyurt B. ↑,
85', Marchesano A. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
90', Coric D. 🟨,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Super League (Relegation: ) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 3.
Winterthur has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Aarau has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Winterthur holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Muscle Injury)
Essiam E.
(Muscle Injury)
Kehrer E.
(Inactive)
Spagnoli A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Aarau: Baturina R.
(Inactive)
Koide H.
(Inactive)
van der Werff J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Winterthur has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:31 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Winterthur against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:12 goals (averaging 2.6:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Winterthur
9
5
3
1
19:8
11
18
5
Aarau
9
3
3
3
14:16
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Aarau - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Kuster M. (G) 
Rohner F. 
Cueni S. 
Beyer B. 
Acquah D. 
Ndau K. 
Guindo M. 
Diaby S. 
Kehrer E. 
Sahitaj L. 
Turkes A. 
Arkovic T. 
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