Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)


	Aarhus Fremad		BK Frem

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.6
	1.49	4.45	5.65
	1.49	4.34	5.43
	1.51	4.38	5.71
	1.49	4.33	5.66
	1.49	4.45	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	4.31 ↑ (3.62)	5.45 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
61.6%

Draw
21.4%

BK Frem
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.

BK Frem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BK Frem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus Fremad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BK Frem than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BK Frem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena B. (G) 8. Baekgard S. 22. Buch S. 34. Denius S. 6. Grube F. 16. Holvad A. 17. Kirchheiner M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 11. Lunding K. 5. Nissen E. 24. Thorsen J.	1. Anker V. (G) 26. Aliji Z. 11. Drammeh S. 5. Hansen G. 3. Jorgensen E. 24. Mathys J. 8. Noer T. 14. Oslev P. 17. Rasmussen M. 2. Remmer C. 6. Warmbach D.
Substitutes
3. Agnarsson M. 70. Beluli J. 20. Callo G. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 10. Mortensen E. 30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G) 19. Wagner L.	29. Andersen A. 12. Djafer-Bey O. 28. Djebou A. 22. Froulund C. 25. Gernsoe M. 27. Soderstrom T. (G) 7. Warlo B.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Frem have a series of home games.

In this match Aarhus Fremad is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus Fremad won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 2 Division
15.09.24	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	VSK Aarhus - Aarhus Fremad	2:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division
30.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	AB Copenhagen - Aarhus Fremad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTL
- BK Frem
Danish 2 Division
15.09.24	BK Frem - Helsingør	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	BK Frem - Næstved BK	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	BK Frem - Lyngby BK	4:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division
31.08.24	BK Frem - AB Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Nykøbing - BK Frem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
18.03.23	BK Frem - Aarhus Fremad	0:1
13.08.22	Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem	2:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
15.05.21	Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem	3:1
29.08.20	BK Frem - Aarhus Fremad	2:2
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
04.07.20	Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem	7:0
16.05.16	Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem	1:0

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